Here’s the latest installment of my new tradition: hastily assembled predictions for the winners of tonight’s Screen Actors Guild Awards, broadcast at 8pm on TNT and TBS, and streaming here. (These predictions don’t reflect my preferences, except when they do.)
Each year, a collection of fewer than 100 international journalists known as the Hollywood Foreign Press Association choose their favorites in film and television from the past year. The awards are delivered at a raucous, booze-infused ceremony televised on NBC in January. This year, they’re coming just four days before the Oscar nominations.
Precedent suggests the HFPA doesn’t put a ton of rigorous thought or intellectual judgment into its decisions for the winners, so I’ve followed suit and cobbled together a list of predictions based entirely on instinct. Any time I wavered or waffled, I forced myself to pick a nominee and move on. Take this list as seriously as you do the average Golden Globe choice — which is to say, not much at all. Check back tonight to see how well I did.
Best Motion Picture, Drama: Spotlight
Best Actress in a Drama: Brie Larson, Room
Best Actor in a Drama: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Best Motion Picture, Comedy: The Big Short
Best Actress in a Comedy: Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Best Actor in a Comedy: Matt Damon, The Martian
Best Animated Motion Picture: Inside Out
Best Foreign Language Motion Picture: Son of Saul
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Best Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Best Director: Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant
Best Screenplay: Charles Randolph and Adam McKay, The Big Short
Best Original Score: Alexandre Desplat, The Danish Girl
Best Original Song: “See You Again,” Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth, Furious 7
Best Drama Series: Empire
Best Actress, Drama: Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Best Actor, Drama: Wagner Moura, Narcos
Best Comedy Series: Casual
Best Actress, Comedy: Jamie Lee Curtis, Scream Queens
Best Actor, Comedy: Rob Lowe, The Grinder
Best Limited Series: Fargo
Best Actress in a Limited Series: Lady Gaga, American Horror Story: Hotel
Best Actor in a Limited Series: Oscar Isaac, Show Me a Hero
Best Supporting Actress: Judith Light, Transparent
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Slater, Mr. Robot
The Grammy Awards are airing on CBS at 8pm this Sunday night. Music’s biggest awards show is often as confounding as it is exciting, but the megawatt lineup suggests noteworthy “moments” (the Grammys’ favorite word) are ahead. Here are six performances I’m anticipating.
Just for fun, here are my predictions for tomorrow night’s Golden Globe awards, presented without comment. Let’s see how many I get right, based almost entirely on speculation. Bonus: my preferences in every category except the ones in which I’ve seen none of the nominees.
Best Picture, Drama: 12 Years a Slave
My pick: 12 Years a Slave
Best Actress, Drama: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
My pick: Cate Blanchett
Best Actor, Drama: Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
My pick: Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
What’s the point of sitting through countless awards show every year if not to celebrate the few moments on those shows that actually justify our investment? As much as I like to complain that most awards shows are poorly structured, improperly paced and ineptly directed, I watch too many of them to argue that they shouldn’t exist at all. I watch them because I’m hoping to see something that will make the time go by more quickly, be it a spontaneous reaction or an exceptional performance. In chronological order, here are five moments from this year’s awards shows that had that effect.
First, to quote from my piece:
“Despite some oversights, the nominations reflected the wide, if scattered, range of excellent pop music in 2013. Rising country star Kacey Musgraves nabbed three well-deserved nominations including one for Best New Artist. The Grammys embraced the anti-establishment alternative hip-hop of Lorde and the irrepressible smooth of Daft Punk. Taylor Swift’s excellent album Red ended up in the Album of the Year category, suggesting that the Grammys have longer memories than they are given credit for.”
Read on for three more thoughts.
Sleazier than the Grammys, stuffier than the VMAs, less legitimate than either one, The American Music Awards are the unfortunate middle child of music awards shows. The only time anyone cares how many American Music Awards an artist has won is during the American Music Awards. This is the show that gave us David Hasselhoff dancing to LMFAO’s “Sexy and I Know It” in 2011 and crowned Justin Bieber the 2012 Artist of the Year. In other words, don’t expect high art.
And yet – the American Music Awards are a fun, if frustrating, thermometer for the current temperature of popular music. Last year’s show brought us Carly Rae Jepsen and PSY, but also Taylor Swift and Stevie Wonder. You have to take the good with the bad.
Whether the awards mean anything or not (they don’t), the show should provide some interesting moments. Will Justin Timberlake do something unexpected to cap off his busy year, or will he rest on his laurels? Will Miley Cyrus descend further into mayhem or restrain herself? Will Luke Bryan and Florida Georgia Line demonstrate why they’re country’s two hottest superstars right now, or will they continue to make us wish for Kacey Musgraves and Miranda Lambert instead?
Follow along starting at 8pm Eastern for my reviews of each performance on the American Music Awards, airing on ABC.
I’ll be updating this blog all night long with thoughts and grades on this year’s celebration of country music, the CMA Awards on ABC. Read on for the good, the bad and the ugly.
What’s going on at the movies? Somali pirates, slave owners, folk singers, Wall Street tycoons and much more. Devin Mitchell and I stepped away from the small screen to go bigger this week. (Click the link to hear this week’s episode.)
First, we saw Captain Phillips together and talked about this movie’s uncompromising thrills and powerful performances. (Spoiler alert: we talk in detail about plot points and the ending in particular. Of course, the movie is based on real events, so nothing is really a spoiler, but if you prefer to know nothing going in, skip this segment.)
After that, I told Devin that he probably shouldn’t see The Fifth Estate, which comes out next Friday.
We closed with a Fall Movie Preview, in which we talked about upcoming movies, got really excited about great actors and found out that Devin doesn’t like fantasy and Mark doesn’t like excessive Oscar hype.
Enjoy the podcast!
Click through for the time breakdown.